Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 22.301725 25.677919 29.315382 33.516279 38.224336 43.328106 49.269293
2025-10-05 17.681796 22.651763 28.494606 35.822294 44.713850 55.098223 68.083710
2025-10-12 14.779145 20.591430 27.902831 37.662783 50.222560 65.703255 86.070024
2025-10-19 12.291093 18.418915 26.587506 38.079387 53.603325 73.593392 100.983015
2025-10-26 10.386908 16.620154 25.369600 38.257787 56.411996 80.675173 115.073277
2025-11-02 8.727294 14.858009 23.889786 37.770262 58.080977 86.149225 127.167174
2025-11-09 7.355134 13.287884 22.437926 37.069059 59.244077 90.838361 138.292749
2025-11-16 6.212108 11.888603 21.037828 36.228722 60.023577 94.899645 148.621421
2025-11-23 5.165018 10.476192 19.421830 34.836411 59.770247 97.328873 156.597273
2025-11-30 4.743319 10.090702 19.425583 35.998204 63.499747 105.829693 173.903272
2025-12-07 4.374665 9.743331 19.441176 37.150816 67.252007 114.522343 191.882139
2025-12-14 3.828638 8.970170 18.611829 36.765612 68.426556 119.221759 203.905725
2025-12-21 3.238538 8.048320 17.465564 35.826003 68.792063 122.964115 215.160249
2025-12-28 3.099747 8.058943 18.091844 38.171430 75.012552 136.633374 243.106600
2026-01-04 2.922058 7.954292 18.477404 40.097576 80.627280 149.612957 270.598281
2026-01-11 2.616617 7.502639 18.105940 40.534209 83.585849 158.278548 291.410324
2026-01-18 2.328458 7.036152 17.638778 40.721926 86.073370 166.238163 311.386347
2026-01-25 2.023080 6.464685 16.867345 40.207427 87.181013 171.821169 327.554403
2026-02-01 1.743926 5.901582 16.034287 39.467453 87.773720 176.483595 342.306915
2026-02-08 1.494390 5.363060 15.179318 38.580526 87.985711 180.430783 355.941723
2026-02-15 1.247951 4.773330 14.113972 37.110684 86.895926 181.894827 365.189273
2026-02-22 1.170264 4.677673 14.249880 38.337202 91.371375 193.903963 393.871131
2026-03-01 1.098030 4.584134 14.378324 39.553730 95.896123 206.206651 423.571452